Of late the Bank of Princeton (NASDAQ:BPRN) share price has softened like an ice cream in the sun, melting a full . But there’s still good reason for shareholders to be content; the stock has gained 10% in the last 90 days. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced the annual gain to a relatively sedate 4.9% over the last twelve months.
Assuming no other changes, a sharply higher share price makes a stock less attractive to potential buyers. In the long term, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, but in the short term prices bounce around in response to short term factors (which are not always obvious). The implication here is that deep value investors might steer clear when expectations of a company are too high. One way to gauge market expectations of a stock is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E implies that investors have high expectations of what a company can achieve compared to a company with a low P/E ratio.
View our latest analysis for Bank of Princeton
Does Bank of Princeton Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?
Bank of Princeton’s P/E of 19.97 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. As you can see below, Bank of Princeton has a higher P/E than the average company (12.6) in the banks industry.
Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Bank of Princeton shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. The market is optimistic about the future, but that doesn’t guarantee future growth. So investors should delve deeper. I like to check if company insiders have been buying or selling.
How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios
When earnings fall, the ‘E’ decreases, over time. That means unless the share price falls, the P/E will increase in a few years. So while a stock may look cheap based on past earnings, it could be expensive based on future earnings.
Bank of Princeton saw earnings per share decrease by 18% last year. And it has shrunk its earnings per share by 4.5% per year over the last five years. This could justify a pessimistic P/E.
A Limitation: P/E Ratios Ignore Debt and Cash In The Bank
The ‘Price’ in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. So it won’t reflect the advantage of cash, or disadvantage of debt. In theory, a company can lower its future P/E ratio by using cash or debt to invest in growth.
Such spending might be good or bad, overall, but the key point here is that you need to look at debt to understand the P/E ratio in context.
Is Debt Impacting Bank of Princeton’s P/E?
Bank of Princeton has net cash of US$25m. This is fairly high at 12% of its market capitalization. That might mean balance sheet strength is important to the business, but should also help push the P/E a bit higher than it would otherwise be.
The Verdict On Bank of Princeton’s P/E Ratio
Bank of Princeton has a P/E of 20.0. That’s around the same as the average in the US market, which is 18.6. While the lack of recent growth is probably muting optimism, the relatively strong balance sheet will allow the company to weather a storm; so it isn’t very surprising to see that it has a P/E ratio close to the market average. What can be absolutely certain is that the market has become less optimistic about Bank of Princeton over the last month, with the P/E ratio falling from 20.0 back then to 20.0 today. For those who don’t like to trade against momentum, that could be a warning sign, but a contrarian investor might want to take a closer look.
Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, ‘In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.
Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Bank of Princeton. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.
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